Will Mormons Become a Minority in Utah Soon?
Utah, a state deeply rooted in Mormon history, is undergoing significant demographic changes. Understanding when and if Mormons might become a minority in the state is crucial for both social and economic planning. While the prospect sounds unlikely statewide, it is possible in certain areas such as Salt Lake City.
The Historical Context
Utah was originally founded by members of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints (LDS). At the time of its founding, the membership was around 99–100 percent. However, over the years, the state has attracted a diverse population from various backgrounds, leading to a decrease in the LDS percentage.
Current Demographics and Trends
Arcane data from the latest census indicates that the LDS population in Utah has dropped to around 50–60 percent of the total population state-wide. In Salt Lake County, where the population is more diverse and less LDS-heavy, the LDS percentage has already dropped below 50 percent, marking it as the most populous county now having a religious minority. Salt Lake City, as the state capital, reflects this trend, with Latter-day Saints already a minority in this major city.
Factors Contributing to Change
The primary driver of this demographic shift is the state's economic growth and job opportunities, particularly in tech and startup sectors. Several companies in Utah, such as Owlet, Instructure, and Traeger, have recently gone public, and the state is home to numerous successful startups, including the Qualtrics unicorn, which sold for billions of dollars.
Projected Timeline
A study suggests that if the current rate of decline continues, the LDS population in Utah may drop to 50 percent by 2034, a little over a decade away. This decline is estimated from the current rate of 0.8 percent per year, showing a significant shift in the religious makeup of the state.
Impact on Daily Life
Utah is experiencing a significant influx of new residents, attracted primarily by job opportunities rather than religion. While some residents complain about increased traffic and rising housing prices, religious diversity is generally well-received, with no major resistance to these changes.
As Utah continues to grow and evolve, one thing is clear: the religious landscape of the state is set to change, with the LDS population expected to become a minority. Understanding these trends is vital for anyone planning to live, work, or invest in Utah.