Why Russia Won't Attack NATO Countries and How NATO Can Prevent It
As the ongoing conflict in Ukraine drags on, the question arises: Why has Russia not attacked NATO countries, and why won't it in the future? The answer lies in strategic calculations, the will to power, and the fear of destruction.
NATO's Unassailable Strength and Putin's Inhibited Actions
Russia's President, Vladimir Putin, is well aware of the catastrophic consequences of attacking NATO member countries. Putin understands that an assault on a NATO nation would virtually guarantee the destruction of Russia itself, making his 'Putin's War' scenario for Ukraine an even more grave risk. This is why Putin refrained from initially attacking any NATO nations and continues to avoid such actions.
If Putin were to issue such an order, NATO member countries would observe a quiet but firm non-intervention. NATO's aversion to instigating a conflict would remain while Russia rapidly implodes from the pressures of war and its disastrous policies under Putin. This outcome would accelerate following any attempt to attack NATO, highlighting the clear and present danger.
The Deterrence of Fear and Power in International Relations
Russian military actions in Ukraine are driven by a delusion of grandeur, much like Putin's dream of being remembered as 'Putin the Great.' However, this vision can only be realized through military success, which seems increasingly unlikely. Even if Russian troops manage to conquer Ukraine, acquiring former Soviet states such as the Baltic nations is off-limits as they too are part of NATO, making a full invasion perilous and impractical.
The only obstacle that truly hinders Russia's aggressive expansion and atrocities is the fear of losing lives. Sadly, the Russian military, along with its people, only respects power. The guarantee of death is a potent deterrent for any nation considering invading others. In this context, the international community, particularly NATO, should arm itself and stand firm.
Putin's Calculations and NATO's Resolve
Vladimir Putin is a master strategist. He is too aware of the dire consequences of a NATO conflict. In a rational assessment, Putin knows that any attempt to attack NATO would result in the complete annihilation of Russia and the devastation of its military. Should Putin become irrational and issue such an order, it is highly unlikely that the Russian military leadership would comply, as they understand the nuclear and conventional impacts of such a conflict.
Conclusion: NATO's Strength and Preemptive Measures
In the face of constant threats to global security, NATO stands as a bulwark against Russian aggression. NATO's 30 member countries form a formidable alliance, ensuring that any military threat is met with overwhelming power. The current conflict in Ukraine, which has seen over 78,000 Russian fatalities, starkly demonstrates the harsh realities of a prolonged war against NATO. A full-scale NATO conflict would be even more devastating, demanding swift and decisive action to prevent such a catastrophe.
It is essential for nations to arm themselves and maintain a strong, united stance. The deterrence of force and the fear of existential loss are key factors in preventing future conflicts. NATO must remain vigilant, prepared, and united in its resolve to protect its member nations and uphold global peace.